surge_management_v2.5.1
Upset•85 games•POWERED

Lane-dominant carry with vision control.

BOT•Upset
👍
Shortlist
Good fit for defined roles—compare within shortlist
3/5 checksMEDIUM
💎
Primary Value
  • •Lane dominance
  • •Structure pressure
📋
Best Fit For
Lane-dominant strategiesEarly tempo compositionsFarming jungle stylesSiege compositions

▶01CHAPTER 1 · CORE STRENGTHS

Finisher Rate

EMERGING
Delta vs typical: +19.4pp
84th percentile
0255075100
Elite closer
Converts kills at exceptional rate—top 16% finisher
✓What this unlocks
Can rely on to finish teamfights. Converts picks and skirmishes into kills consistently.
Based on 85 games • Typical value: 0.31

Team Fight Participation

EMERGING
Delta vs typical: +0.4pp
51th percentile
0255075100
Solid teamfight involvement
Involved in 34% of kills (51th percentile)
✓What this unlocks
Works in standard teamfight compositions. Balanced between fights and side-lane pressure.
Based on 85 games • Typical value: 0.34

Structure Damage

EMERGING
Delta vs typical: +56
68th percentile
0255075100
Good tower pressure
Above-average structure damage—helps close games
✓What this unlocks
Works in standard comps. Contributes to objective-focused strategies.
Based on 85 games • Typical value: 95.09
[user@surge ~/decision_layer]$

Advanced Metrics

Deep-dive into resource efficiency, lane control, and structural impact

Resource Efficiency

Lane Dominance

Lane Control

PRIMARY VALUE
High confidence
+0.52
Likely range:[0.19, 0.85]
moderate
Better than typical
Why it matters: Higher values indicate reliable lane leads; lower values indicate a playstyle that optimizes for mid–late transitions and cross-map trades.
Games: 85

Performance Consistency

lci15_index1.55
rpa_dpm205.33
ssi1.07
vpg0.03

Lower volatility = more consistent performance across games

▶02CHAPTER 2 · DRAFT & MATCHUPS

[user@surge ~/chapter2]$

Draft Overview

Upset leans on Kai'Sa, Ezreal, Varus. Champion pool depth and matchup health below translate the raw numbers into draft levers you can act on.

Flex Value
  • Kai'Sa brings +244 ΔDPM into vs Corki lanes. Lean into early picks or protect this look with second-phase bans.
  • Kai'Sa brings +73 ΔDPM into vs Varus lanes. Lean into early picks or protect this look with second-phase bans.
  • Ezreal brings +15 ΔDPM into vs Varus lanes. Lean into early picks or protect this look with second-phase bans.
Watch List
  • Ezreal suppresses Xayah (-148 ΔDPM). Ban, flex, or prep counter answers.
  • Tristana suppresses Kai'Sa (-148 ΔDPM). Ban, flex, or prep counter answers.
  • Zeri suppresses Xayah (-100 ΔDPM). Ban, flex, or prep counter answers.
Emerging pocket picks: Corki, Jhin, Lucian. Use in targeted scrims before stage deployment.
[user@surge ~/champion_pool]$

Champion Pool Overview

Pool Depth
12.3
Wide pool (12.3 effective champions)—high draft flexibility
Meta Alignment
53%
Balanced mix of meta and comfort
Draft Profile
Balanced
13 emerging picks available
📋 How to Read the Champion Table Below
Column Meanings:
• Games = Sample size for this champion
• Meta % = How often they pick this when it's strong in the patch
• Late-Pick % = How often they save this for counter-picks
• Δ columns = Performance vs expected (DPM, LCI-15, etc.)
About This Player:
They have 12.3 effective champions across 19 total picks.
Meta alignment: 53% (plays strong picks often).

Champion Mastery Details

Scan the top-10 champions for sample size, meta alignment, and powered deltas. Grey rows flag emerging picks—pair with video review before trusting the stats.

[user@surge ~/champion_pool]$

Champion Mastery (Δ vs expected)

Kai'Sa
Kai'Sa
17 games • 88% meta • 18% late
Δ Damage vs Exp.
+20
[-68, +109]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.02
[-0.57, +0.62]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
+0.08
[+0.02, +0.14]
Δ Structure DPM
+98
[+58, +139]
Ezreal
Ezreal
13 games • 23% meta • 0% late
Δ Damage vs Exp.
-12
[-131, +107]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.67
[-0.16, +1]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
+0.04
[-0.03, +0.11]
Δ Structure DPM
+40
[-15, +95]
Varus
Varus
9 games • 100% meta • 11% late
Δ Damage vs Exp.
+69
[-102, +239]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
-0.39
[-1, +0.25]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
+0.04
[-0.06, +0.15]
Δ Structure DPM
+56
[-15, +128]
Xayah
Xayah
9 games • 56% meta • 56% late
Δ Damage vs Exp.
-113
[-171, -56]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.97
[+0.10, +2]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
+0.04
[-0.03, +0.11]
Δ Structure DPM
+95
[+48, +141]
Kalista
Kalista
7 games • 0% meta • 14% late
Δ Damage vs Exp.
-145
[-218, -71]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.65
[-0.83, +2]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
+0.01
[-0.08, +0.11]
Δ Structure DPM
+33
[-43, +110]
Miss Fortune
Miss Fortune
5 games • 60% meta • 0% late
Δ Damage vs Exp.
-11
[-147, +124]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.72
[+0.20, +1]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
-0.05
[-0.11, +0.02]
Δ Structure DPM
+82
[-83, +248]
Corki
Corki
4 games • 0% meta • 50% late(emerging)
Δ Damage vs Exp.
+21
[-142, +184]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+1
[+0.47, +2]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
+0.08
[-0.02, +0.18]
Δ Structure DPM
+86
[-0.48, +173]
Jhin
Jhin
4 games • 0% meta • 75% late(emerging)
Δ Damage vs Exp.
+141
[-7, +289]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.78
[-0.38, +2]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
-0.00
[-0.11, +0.11]
Δ Structure DPM
+68
[-48, +184]
Lucian
Lucian
4 games • 25% meta • 75% late(emerging)
Δ Damage vs Exp.
-179
[-382, +24]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.62
[-0.38, +2]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
-0.10
[-0.18, -0.02]
Δ Structure DPM
-46
[-48, -44]
Zeri
Zeri
3 games • 0% meta • 33% late(emerging)
Δ Damage vs Exp.
-55
[-133, +23]
Δ Lane Adv. @15
+0.36
[-1, +2]
Δ Teamfight Involv.
-0.00
[-0.13, +0.13]
Δ Structure DPM
+103
[-57, +262]
Grey rows indicate small‑sample “emerging” picks; show context, not attribution.

▶03CHAPTER 3 · TEAM FIT

[user@surge ~/chapter3]$

System Compatibility

Best Pairings:
Farmer +86
Avoid / Low Uplift:
Balanced -18Objective First -20Skirmisher -108
Jungler Activation Levers
  • farmer styles unlock +86 ΔDPM ( N=2). Pair with comps that emphasise this path.
Caution: balanced (-18 ΔDPM), objective_first (-20 ΔDPM), skirmisher (-108 ΔDPM) — avoid planning full-series drafts around these looks without scrim validation.
Macro Orientation

Performs best when the team tilts toward bot_oriented (+-5 ΔDPM). Watch for drop-off in top_oriented games (-36 ΔDPM).

[user@surge ~/decision]$

Recommendation Summary

✓
Does player pass three-stat snapshot?
2/2 core metrics above expected
✓
Healthy champion pool?
Wide pool (12.3 effective champions)—high draft flexibility
✓
Manageable matchups?
2/7 difficult matchups
ℹ
Consistent performer?
High playmaking range—deploy for high-impact game plans
⚠
System fit (pairing needed)
Activation path (1/4): Pair with Farmer (+86) · Avoid Balanced (-18), Objective First (-20)
Best:Farmer +86
Avoid:Balanced -18Objective First -20
Overall Assessment (3/5 activation checks)
👍 Good Fit
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Good fit for defined roles—compare within shortlist
📋 Next Steps Based on Assessment
Action: Move to Shortlist
• Watch 5–10 games to confirm strengths you want to activate
• Compare with 2–3 shortlisted players for role
• Align on deployment plan (lane resources, jungle pairing)
[user@surge ~/games]$

Game Browser

Showing 85 / 85 games
Result
Date ▾MatchupPatchJungle StylesResultDamage (Δ) ▾
i
Teamfight Involv. (Δ) ▾
i
Lane Adv. @15 (Δ) ▾
i
Structure DPM (Δ) ▾
i
2025-10-19
EzrealEzrealvsVayneVayne
15.20balanced / objective_firstLoss1072 +23980% +0.10-1.08 +0.010 -14
2025-10-19
Kai'SaKai'SavsSivirSivir
15.20balanced / objective_firstWin782 +18586% +0.141.16 +0.79161 +96
2025-10-19
XayahXayahvsZeriZeri
15.20objective_first / skirmisherLoss448 -19129% -0.371.39 +28 -22
2025-10-16
CaitlynCaitlynvsXayahXayah
15.20objective_first / objective_firstLoss841 +124100% +0.260.94 +15 -139
2025-10-15
EzrealEzrealvsCaitlynCaitlyn
15.20objective_first / objective_firstLoss693 -6360% -0.02-1.66 -10 -100
2025-09-27
VarusVarusvsEzrealEzreal
15.18objective_first / gankerLoss503 -21250% -0.160.29 +0.5016 -97
2025-09-27
LucianLucianvsZeriZeri
15.18balanced / objective_firstLoss579 -31883% +0.022.23 +27 -49
2025-09-27
XayahXayahvsCorkiCorki
15.18objective_first / objective_firstWin598 -8575% +0.04-0.79 +0.33190 +127
2025-09-27
Kai'SaKai'SavsTristanaTristana
15.18balanced / objective_firstLoss623 -140100% +0.220.03 +117 +11
2025-09-26
ZeriZerivsEzrealEzreal
15.18objective_first / objective_firstWin919 +16100% +0.152.68 +2418 +262
2025-09-26
Kai'SaKai'SavsVarusVarus
15.18balanced / objective_firstWin597 +2485% +0.12-1.34 -0.89126 +117
2025-09-15
VayneVaynevsSivirSivir
15.17skirmisher / objective_firstWin762 -9858% -0.010.72 +0.8173 -100
2025-09-15
Kai'SaKai'SavsCorkiCorki
15.17balanced / objective_firstWin1022 +45888% +0.142.40 +3340 +293
2025-09-15
XayahXayahvsEzrealEzreal
15.17balanced / objective_firstWin503 -30458% -0.151.03 +0.86211 +165
2025-09-08
SmolderSmoldervsZeriZeri
15.17balanced / objective_firstLoss1146 +5985% +0.03-3.14 -233 +63
2025-09-08
TwitchTwitchvsJinxJinx
15.17skirmisher / objective_firstWin664 -15871% -0.02-0.24 +1184 +118
2025-09-08
EzrealEzrealvsAphelios
15.17objective_first / balancedLoss541 -59582% -0.08-0.22 -0.6965 -93
2025-09-08
Kai'SaKai'SavsTristanaTristana
15.17objective_first / objective_firstLoss553 -15660% -0.16-0.11 +0.5726 -43
2025-09-08
SivirSivirvsXayahXayah
15.17balanced / objective_firstWin885 -9985% +0.101.93 +0.25120 +33
2025-08-17
JhinJhinvsEzrealEzreal
15.16objective_first / objective_firstLoss769 +20857% -0.12-0.42 -0.246 -62
2025-08-17
LucianLucianvsKai'SaKai'Sa
15.16objective_first / objective_firstLoss753 -375% -0.050.92 +135 -44
2025-08-10
YunaraYunaravsSmolderSmolder
15.15objective_first / objective_firstWin375 -17160% -0.014.46 +4216 +136
2025-08-10
VarusVarusvsAphelios
15.15objective_first / balancedWin842 -479% +0.032.32 +0.92298 +133
2025-08-04
EzrealEzrealvsLucianLucian
15.15objective_first / balancedWin782 -6669% -0.000.21 +0.85190 +96
2025-08-04
YunaraYunaravsKai'SaKai'Sa
15.15objective_first / objective_firstWin689 +65100% +0.312.27 -0.05242 +40
2025-08-02
EzrealEzrealvsXayahXayah
15.15objective_first / balancedWin810 -5272% +0.040.47 +0.94308 +199
2025-08-02
LucianLucianvsAphelios
15.15balanced / objective_firstLoss378 -39470% -0.040.12 -0.040 -46
2025-08-02
Kai'SaKai'SavsYunaraYunara
15.15objective_first / balancedWin578 -25087% -0.00-0.18 -0.22213 +94
2025-06-02
EzrealEzrealvsMiss FortuneMiss Fortune
15.10objective_first / skirmisherLoss671 +5150% -0.061.37 +4135 +192
2025-06-02
XayahXayahvsLucianLucian
15.10objective_first / objective_firstLoss446 -124100% +0.29-0.13 +282 +43
2025-06-02
KalistaKalistavsDravenDraven
15.10balanced / objective_firstLoss415 -237100% +0.28-0.11 -16 -77
2025-05-31
XayahXayahvsMiss FortuneMiss Fortune
15.10objective_first / gankerWin644 -10085% +0.121.79 +3227 +137
2025-05-31
LucianLucianvsCorkiCorki
15.10objective_first / balancedLoss655 -164% -0.05-1.59 -0.410 -46
2025-05-31
JhinJhinvsVarusVarus
15.10skirmisher / objective_firstWin578 -6770% -0.002.17 +2118 +24
2025-05-31
KalistaKalistavsSenna
15.10objective_first / balancedWin602 -11861% -0.152.90 +2183 +84
2025-05-24
TristanaTristanavsKai'SaKai'Sa
15.10objective_first / objective_firstLoss963 +30670% +0.081.60 +0.3991 -109
2025-05-24
KalistaKalistavsXayahXayah
15.10objective_first / balancedLoss649 -17661% -0.123.30 +250 -88
2025-05-24
ZeriZerivsSenna
15.10balanced / objective_firstLoss480 -5942% -0.03-1.03 -0.854 -7
2025-05-24
CorkiCorkivsVarusVarus
15.10objective_first / objective_firstWin827 +25971% +0.06-0.20 +0.57216 +153
2025-05-05
EzrealEzrealvsZeriZeri
15.09farmer / objective_firstWin824 +9683% +0.173.44 +2236 +96
2025-05-05
Kai'SaKai'SavsMiss FortuneMiss Fortune
15.09objective_first / balancedWin802 +12694% +0.171.40 +1227 +92
2025-05-03
KalistaKalistavsVarusVarus
15.09objective_first / objective_firstWin639 -5281% +0.09-0.35 -0.53273 +192
2025-05-03
Kai'SaKai'SavsJhinJhin
15.09objective_first / balancedWin634 -21476% +0.10-1.05 +0.22134 +86
2025-04-27
CorkiCorkivsMiss FortuneMiss Fortune
15.08skirmisher / objective_firstWin914 -3676% +0.022.81 +2349 +171
2025-04-27
JhinJhinvsKai'SaKai'Sa
15.08objective_first / balancedWin771 +28480% +0.102.13 +1215 +92
2025-04-27
EzrealEzrealvsVarusVarus
15.08balanced / objective_firstLoss702 -9886% +0.12-1.68 -0.6271 +64
2025-04-26
XayahXayahvsTristanaTristana
15.08objective_first / objective_firstLoss865 -6871% -0.03-0.18 +0.2654 +5
2025-04-26
Miss FortuneMiss FortunevsEzrealEzreal
15.08balanced / objective_firstLoss508 -15167% -0.020.31 -0.1518 -65
2025-04-26
Kai'SaKai'SavsCorkiCorki
15.08objective_first / farmerWin614 +3080% +0.09-1.35 -0.75283 +249
2025-04-19
Miss FortuneMiss FortunevsJhinJhin
15.08objective_first / balancedWin776 +5285% +0.092.91 +0.41624 +385
2025-04-19
KalistaKalistavsVarusVarus
15.08objective_first / balancedWin463 -5253% -0.171.35 +0.68181 +54
2025-04-13
CorkiCorkivsEzrealEzreal
15.07objective_first / balancedWin686 -1276% +0.121.62 +2146 +29
2025-04-13
VarusVarusvsSivirSivir
15.07balanced / objective_firstWin1042 +19283% +0.10-1.75 -1203 +215
2025-04-06
Kai'SaKai'SavsXayahXayah
15.07objective_first / objective_firstWin833 +10467% -0.011.18 +0.53172 +55
2025-04-06
Miss FortuneMiss FortunevsAshe
15.07objective_first / objective_firstWin622 -15078% +0.022.23 +1287 +148
2025-04-06
VarusVarusvsEzrealEzreal
15.07objective_first / objective_firstLoss782 +12667% +0.10-0.07 +0.8415 -12
2025-03-31
Kai'SaKai'SavsEzrealEzreal
15.06skirmisher / objective_firstLoss780 -15278% +0.020.27 +0.53162 +43
2025-03-31
VarusVarusvsCorkiCorki
15.06objective_first / objective_firstLoss260 -37650% -0.23-1.22 -246 -51
2025-03-29
VarusVarusvsCorkiCorki
15.06farmer / objective_firstWin909 +7575% -0.02-0.71 -0.53246 +195
2025-03-29
XayahXayahvsEzrealEzreal
15.06objective_first / balancedWin618 -10365% -0.071.06 -0.27351 +168
2025-03-01
Miss FortuneMiss FortunevsJhinJhin
15.03objective_first / objective_firstLoss546 -2760% -0.08-0.67 +0.9534 -56
2025-03-01
Kai'SaKai'SavsCaitlynCaitlyn
15.03objective_first / balancedWin889 +21983% +0.16-3.78 -2174 +91
2025-03-01
XayahXayahvsZeriZeri
15.03objective_first / objective_firstWin716 -1070% +0.011.85 +2233 +148
2025-03-01
KalistaKalistavsAshe
15.03objective_first / skirmisherLoss475 -30578% +0.052.77 +373 +100
2025-03-01
EzrealEzrealvsVarusVarus
15.03objective_first / objective_firstLoss638 -21371% +0.031.16 +0.8225 -94
2025-02-28
ZeriZerivsSivirSivir
15.03objective_first / balancedWin659 -12269% -0.051.40 +0.35237 +54
2025-02-28
DravenDravenvsKalistaKalista
15.03balanced / objective_firstLoss216 -164100% +0.37-1.13 +0.666 +31
2025-02-28
VarusVarusvsJinxJinx
15.03objective_first / objective_firstWin1370 +55095% +0.250.15 -0.76211 +85
2025-02-28
EzrealEzrealvsKai'SaKai'Sa
15.03objective_first / objective_firstWin1124 +4181% +0.021.30 -0.43199 +30
2025-02-23
JhinJhinvsJinxJinx
15.03objective_first / objective_firstWin1036 +13784% +0.10-0.10 -0.10289 +218
2025-02-23
Kai'SaKai'SavsZeriZeri
15.03balanced / objective_firstLoss565 +12275% +0.12-1.89 -198 +65
2025-02-23
XayahXayahvsEzrealEzreal
15.03objective_first / objective_firstWin986 -3791% +0.14-1.17 -1189 +80
2025-02-17
JinxJinxvsSivirSivir
15.03objective_first / balancedLoss420 -34063% -0.140.84 +0.85160 -26
2025-02-17
CorkiCorkivsEzrealEzreal
15.03objective_first / skirmisherLoss901 -12759% -0.091.39 +0.5248 -7
2025-02-15
VarusVarusvsCorkiCorki
15.03objective_first / objective_firstWin946 +8686% +0.120.82 -0.25126 -9
2025-02-15
Kai'SaKai'SavsEzrealEzreal
15.03objective_first / balancedWin548 +10869% +0.090.63 +1163 +35
2025-02-03
EzrealEzrealvsVarusVarus
15.02objective_first / objective_firstWin917 +17167% +0.01-0.92 -1111 -9
2025-02-02
Kai'SaKai'SavsEzrealEzreal
15.02objective_first / objective_firstWin655 -10469% +0.010.60 -2412 +212
2025-02-01
Kai'SaKai'SavsEzrealEzreal
15.02skirmisher / objective_firstWin768 -13671% -0.06-1.06 -2299 +135
2025-01-27
KalistaKalistavsVarusVarus
15.02objective_first / objective_firstWin732 -72100% +0.20-1.02 -2105 -30
2025-01-26
EzrealEzrealvsVarusVarus
15.02objective_first / objective_firstWin935 +20181% +0.180.85 +1141 +28
2025-01-25
Kai'SaKai'SavsVarusVarus
15.02balanced / objective_firstWin507 +12220% -0.38-0.84 +0.4616 +43
2025-01-20
VarusVarusvsCorkiCorki
15.01objective_first / balancedWin1012 +18180% +0.051.23 -1271 +47
2025-01-19
EzrealEzrealvsCorkiCorki
15.01objective_first / objective_firstWin1031 +13266% +0.063.12 +3267 +129
2025-01-18
Miss FortuneMiss FortunevsVarusVarus
15.01balanced / objective_firstLoss732 +21950% -0.21-0.27 +134 +1

💡 Use filters to focus; click column headers to sort. Green = above expected, Red = below expected.

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